← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sat, Feb 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda JC win | 39% | 37% | 2.37 | fair |
| FC Twente '65 win | 34% | 33% | 2.80 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Roda JC | FC Twente '65 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 960.00 | 595.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1566.55 | 1610.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.96 | -29.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 37.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.63 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |