← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sun, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 49% | 53% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.40 | fair |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 25% | 18% | 4.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 582.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1687.70 | 1597.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.48 | -13.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| state index | 0.62 | 0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |