← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Wed, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 53% | 66% | 1.75 | value: +16% |
| Draw | 27% | 14% | 3.50 | fair |
| AZ win | 21% | 19% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 243.00 | 943.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1599.23 | 1597.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.85 | -66.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| league points | 40.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.88 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |