← Eredivisie 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen win | 46% | 49% | 2.00 | fair |
| FC Utrecht win | 27% | 30% | 3.40 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 21% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1671.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1559.21 | 1519.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 60.78 | 14.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 51.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |