← Eredivisie 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 39% | 41% | 2.50 | value: +4% |
| Vitesse win | 33% | 37% | 2.80 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 28% | 21% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vitesse | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2647.00 | 2100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1451.93 | 1583.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.77 | 1.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 34.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.69 |
| state index | -1.09 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |