← Eredivisie 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 59% | 66% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.75 | fair |
| FC Utrecht win | 16% | 11% | 6.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 274.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1617.06 | 1515.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.78 | 6.73 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| league points | 58.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |