← Eredivisie 2006-07 · Sun, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 54% | 74% | 1.66 | value: +23% ⚠ |
| Draw | 26% | 16% | 3.50 | fair |
| ADO Den Haag win | 19% | 10% | 4.75 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | ADO Den Haag | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 6813.00 | 2065.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1355.94 | 1592.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.88 | -35.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 14.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.56 | 1.80 |
| state index | -1.39 | -0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |