← Eredivisie 2006-07 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 71% | 79% | 1.25 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 16% | 5.00 | fair |
| FC Groningen win | 10% | 5% | 11.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PSV | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1607.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1744.41 | 1510.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.43 | 1.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| league points | 60.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| state index | 0.89 | 0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |