← Eredivisie 2006-07 · Sun, Feb 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 57% | 56% | 1.60 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | 3.60 | fair |
| FC Utrecht win | 17% | 20% | 5.75 | value: +17% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2058.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1646.98 | 1543.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.40 | 6.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 42.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |