← Eredivisie 2006-07 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Heerenveen win | 53% | 57% | 1.72 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.50 | fair |
| Vitesse win | 22% | 17% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 954.00 | 2597.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1554.58 | 1497.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.98 | -5.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 37.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.35 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |