← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Sun, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 81% | 83% | 1.10 | fair |
| Draw | 12% | 17% | 7.50 | value: +25% |
| Roosendaal win | 7% | 0% | 14.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Roosendaal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1750.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1715.11 | 1284.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.12 | -21.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 68.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 0.27 |
| state index | 0.60 | -2.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |