← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Wed, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag win | 55% | 58% | 1.61 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 38% | 3.75 | value: +41% |
| Roosendaal win | 20% | 4% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Roosendaal | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 6494.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1290.72 | 1430.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.05 | 24.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 9.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 0.28 | 1.00 |
| state index | -1.92 | -0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |