← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Wed, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 48% | 34% | 1.90 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 55% | 3.30 | value: +81% ⚠ |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 25% | 11% | 3.60 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PSV | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1746.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1692.39 | 1621.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.96 | -31.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| league points | 80.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 2.09 |
| state index | 1.09 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |