← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Wed, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC win | 43% | 46% | 2.10 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 30% | 34% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 20% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | NEC | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 285.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1498.53 | 1504.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.37 | 13.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 46.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |