← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Sun, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 64% | 77% | 1.40 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 24% | 14% | 3.75 | fair |
| FC Twente '65 win | 13% | 8% | 7.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | FC Twente '65 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1736.00 | 2405.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1613.33 | 1524.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.55 | -2.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| league points | 63.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.40 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |