← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Sun, Mar 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 76% | 84% | 1.20 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 14% | 6.00 | fair |
| ADO Den Haag win | 9% | 3% | 10.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1729.00 | 6477.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1728.91 | 1427.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.91 | 41.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| league points | 63.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.97 |
| state index | 1.11 | -0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |