← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 45% | 54% | 2.00 | value: +8% |
| FC Groningen win | 29% | 22% | 3.25 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1244.00 | 1701.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1566.37 | 1740.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.55 | 21.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| league points | 43.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 2.32 |
| state index | 0.51 | 1.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |