← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Wed, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse win | 54% | 59% | 1.66 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 21% | 3.50 | fair |
| FC Twente '65 win | 20% | 20% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vitesse | FC Twente '65 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2230.00 | 2352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1512.72 | 1484.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.96 | 3.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 33.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.14 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |