← Eredivisie 2005-06 · Wed, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Heerenveen win | 38% | 43% | 2.37 | fair |
| Heracles win | 34% | 31% | 2.62 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heracles | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 587.00 | 587.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1448.99 | 1548.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.76 | 15.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| league points | 26.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.64 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |