← Ligue 1 2018-19 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 win | 36% | 38% | 2.71 | fair |
| Angers SCO win | 34% | 34% | 2.85 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.27 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Angers SCO | Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Raymond-Kopa |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 2836.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1623.79 | 1703.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.02 | 11.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 37.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.64 | 25.64 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |