← Ligue 1 2018-19 · Sun, Sep 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Bastien
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 win | 45% | 48% | 2.19 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 31% | 29% | 3.16 | fair |
| Bordeaux win | 25% | 23% | 3.96 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Benjamin André · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 16' | ⚽ | Ramy Bensebaini · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 49' | 🟨 | Maxime Poundjé · Bordeaux |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lukas Lerager · Bordeaux |
| 60' | 🟨 | Younousse Sankharé · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 |
| venue | Roazhon Park |
| 0.40 |
| coach days | 305.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1689.65 | 1709.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.34 | 20.24 |
| eye test v1 | -1.24 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |