← Ligue 1 2017-18 · Sat, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Johan Hamel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 52% | 52% | 1.88 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.33 | fair |
| Angers SCO win | 19% | 20% | 5.23 | value: +7% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bordeaux | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 51.00 | 2444.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| venue | Matmut Atlantique |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.00 |
| 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1652.53 | 1605.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.22 | 0.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 36.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 37.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 28.12 |
| state index | 0.31 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -1.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |