← Ligue 1 2017-18 · Wed, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO win | 46% | 49% | 2.13 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | 3.23 | fair |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 win | 24% | 22% | 4.13 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Karl Toko Ekambi · Angers SCO |
| 43' | 🟨 | Hamari Traoré · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 51' | ⚽ | Adrien Hunou · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
| 84' | ⚽ | Benjamin André · Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Angers SCO | Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Raymond Kopa |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 2343.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1522.51 | 1543.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.40 | 30.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.71 |
| league points | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.93 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |