← Primera Division 2018-19 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona win | 59% | 61% | 1.65 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | 4.55 | fair |
| Eibar win | 20% | 19% | 4.96 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Marc Cucurella · Eibar |
| 31' | ⚽ | Lionel Messi · FC Barcelona |
| 32' | ⚽ | Lionel Messi · FC Barcelona |
| 33' | 🟨 | Iván Ramis · Eibar |
| 42' | 🟨 | Nélson Semedo · FC Barcelona |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pablo De Blasis · Eibar |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pablo De Blasis · Eibar |
| 80' | 🟨 | José Ángel · Eibar |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Escalante · Eibar |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jordi Alba · FC Barcelona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ipurua Municipal Stadium |
| coach days |
| 1418.00 |
| 717.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1592.32 | 1927.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.27 | -14.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 46.00 | 86.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 87.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 66.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 2.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 2.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.79 |
| state index | 0.13 | 1.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 1.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |