← Primera Division 2018-19 · Sat, Oct 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe CF win | 55% | 56% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 22% | 3.86 | fair |
| Levante UD win | 20% | 22% | 4.98 | value: +9% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Djené · Getafe CF |
| 22' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Boateng · Levante UD |
| 26' | 🟨 | Vitorino Antunes · Getafe CF |
| 31' | 🟨 | Sanjin Prcić · Levante UD |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jason · Levante UD |
| 42' | 🟨 | Róber Pier · Levante UD |
| 60' | ⚽ | Enis Bardhi · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Damián Suárez · Getafe CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robert Ibáñez · Getafe CF |
| 90' | 🟥 | Francisco Portillo · Getafe CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ruben Rochina · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Getafe CF | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| venue | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| coach days | 765.00 | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1613.99 | 1551.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.18 | -22.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |