← Primera Division 2017-18 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe CF win | 50% | 44% | 1.96 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 32% | 3.36 | value: +8% |
| Girona win | 21% | 23% | 4.60 | value: +8% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Amath Ndiaye · Getafe CF |
| 34' | 🟨 | Amath Ndiaye · Getafe CF |
| 34' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Girona |
| 39' | 🟨 | David Timor · Girona |
| 42' | 🟨 | Bruno González · Getafe CF |
| 43' | 🟥 | Damián Suárez · Getafe CF |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 47' | 🟨 | Pablo Maffeo · Girona |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sergio Mora · Getafe CF |
| 72' | 🟨 | Aday Benítez · Girona |
| 73' | 🟨 | Fayçal Fajr · Getafe CF |
| 76' | 🟨 | Vitorino Antunes · Getafe CF |
| 86' | 🟨 | Francisco Molinero · Getafe CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Getafe CF | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| coach days |
| 605.00 |
| 1593.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1594.01 | 1554.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.56 | -42.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 48.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.48 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.24 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |