← Primera Division 2017-18 · Fri, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 40% | 41% | 2.42 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.26 | fair |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 30% | 29% | 3.27 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Emre Çolak · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 90' | 🟨 | — · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 1784.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Municipal de Butarque |
| 0.20 |
| -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1502.56 | 1438.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.02 | 24.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.73 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| league points | 39.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |