← Primera Division 2017-18 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Medie Jimenez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 43% | 38% | 2.29 | fair |
| Eibar win | 30% | 29% | 3.23 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 33% | 3.58 | value: +19% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Sergio León · Real Betis Balompié |
| 50' | ⚽ (og) | Anaitz Arbilla · Real Betis Balompié |
| 56' | 🟨 | Dani García · Eibar |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fabián Orellana · Eibar |
| 79' | 🟨 | Aïssa Mandi · Real Betis Balompié |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordi Amat · Real Betis Balompié |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Betis Balompié | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Benito Villamarín |
| coach days |
| 341.00 |
| 1011.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1570.34 | 1566.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.22 | -10.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| league points | 46.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.50 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |