← Primera Division 2017-18 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Jaime Latre, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 36% | 42% | 2.69 | value: +12% |
| Draw | 32% | 29% | 3.04 | fair |
| Getafe CF win | 32% | 29% | 3.09 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Ely · Deportivo Alavés |
| 30' | 🟨 | Gaku Shibasaki · Getafe CF |
| 47' | 🟨 | Markel Bergara · Getafe CF |
| 48' | ⚽ | Víctor Laguardia · Deportivo Alavés |
| 50' | 🟨 | Fayçal Fajr · Getafe CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Munir El Haddadi · Deportivo Alavés |
| 75' | ⚽ | Munir El Haddadi · Deportivo Alavés |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Getafe CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio de Mendizorroza |
| coach days |
| 127.00 |
| 583.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1514.48 | 1575.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.27 | -12.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.50 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| league points | 32.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 35.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -2.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |