← Primera Division 2017-18 · Sat, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 60% | 61% | 1.64 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.94 | fair |
| Levante UD win | 16% | 16% | 6.26 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Roger Martí · Levante UD |
| 29' | 🟨 | Erick Cabaco · Levante UD |
| 54' | ⚽ | Alex Granell · Girona |
| 68' | ⚽ | José Luis Morales · Levante UD |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jefferson Lerma · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Maffeo · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.67 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadi Montilivi |
| coach days |
| 1564.00 |
| 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1597.73 | 1498.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.47 | 2.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 43.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 37.40 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -2.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -1.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |