← Primera Division 2017-18 · Sat, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Jaime Latre, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 41% | 43% | 2.40 | fair |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 30% | 30% | 3.22 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.35 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Takashi Inui · Eibar |
| 33' | ⚽ | Florin Andone · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 39' | 🟥 | Maksym Koval · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 64' | 🟨 | Rubén Peña · Eibar |
| 78' | 🟨 | José Ángel · Eibar |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sidnei · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Deportivo La Coruña | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Riazor |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 30.00 | 976.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1416.97 | 1586.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.55 | 20.46 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.80 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.72 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| league points | 18.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -1.45 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |