← Primera Division 2017-18 · Sun, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe CF win | 51% | 53% | 1.93 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.37 | fair |
| Leganes win | 20% | 19% | 4.77 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Joseba Zaldúa · Leganes |
| 25' | 🟨 | Omar Ramos · Leganes |
| 46' | 🟨 | José Naranjo · Leganes |
| 55' | 🟨 | Damián Suárez · Getafe CF |
| 61' | 🟨 | Martín Mantovani · Leganes |
| 72' | 🟨 | Iván Cuéllar · Leganes |
| 75' | 🟨 | Rubén Pérez · Leganes |
| 86' | 🟨 | Vitorino Antunes · Getafe CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 2 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Getafe CF | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| coach days | 521.00 | 1709.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1575.62 | 1525.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.31 | 14.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 28.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.48 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |