← Primera Division 2017-18 · Wed, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe CF win | 55% | 58% | 1.77 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 4.04 | fair |
| Las Palmas win | 20% | 18% | 4.82 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Juan Cala · Getafe CF |
| 15' | ⚽ | Amath Ndiaye · Getafe CF |
| 21' | 🟨 | Damián Suárez · Getafe CF |
| 56' | 🟨 | Vitorino Antunes · Getafe CF |
| 60' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Getafe CF |
| 68' | 🟨 | David Simón · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 23 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Getafe CF | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| coach days | 475.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1564.30 | 1407.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.76 | -2.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| league points | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.37 | 1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |