← Primera Division 2017-18 · Sun, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alberto Undiano, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 44% | 46% | 2.23 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.38 | fair |
| Getafe CF win | 27% | 25% | 3.63 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 22' | 🟨 | Mauro Arambarri · Getafe CF |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sergio Mora · Getafe CF |
| 51' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Getafe CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Vitorino Antunes · Getafe CF |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jorge Molina · Getafe CF |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alex Granell · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Timor · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | — · Getafe CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Getafe CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| venue | Estadi Montilivi |
| coach days | 1460.00 | 472.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1605.06 | 1630.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.38 | 18.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 64.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -2.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 29.27 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |