← Primera Division 2017-18 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe CF win | 46% | 32% | 2.11 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 33% | 3.51 | value: +17% |
| Eibar win | 26% | 35% | 3.83 | value: +33% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Takashi Inui · Eibar |
| 81' | 🟨 | Dani García · Eibar |
| 84' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Eibar |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gaku Shibasaki · Getafe CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergi Enrich · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Getafe CF | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Coliseum Alfonso Pérez |
| coach days | 464.00 | 892.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1576.24 | 1536.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.94 | 33.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.51 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.88 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |