← Primera Division 2017-18 · Fri, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Antonio Mateu, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 48% | 48% | 2.06 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.55 | fair |
| Getafe CF win | 25% | 24% | 3.94 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Getafe CF |
| 18' | 🟨 | Javi García · Real Betis Balompié |
| 18' | ⚽ | Markel Bergara · Getafe CF |
| 32' | 🟨 | Mauro Arambarri · Getafe CF |
| 33' | 🟨 | Vitorino Antunes · Getafe CF |
| 34' | ⚽ | Francisco Portillo · Getafe CF |
| 43' | 🟨 | Djené · Getafe CF |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jordi Amat · Real Betis Balompié |
| 68' | ⚽ | Antonio Sanabria · Real Betis Balompié |
| 75' | 🟨 | Fayçal Fajr · Getafe CF |
| 85' | 🟨 | Markel Bergara · Getafe CF |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ryad Boudebouz · Real Betis Balompié |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Betis Balompié | Getafe CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Benito Villamarín |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 186.00 | 428.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1499.22 | 1562.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.04 | 18.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| league points | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.74 | -1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.37 | -1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |