← Primera Division 2017-18 · Mon, Sep 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 53% | 53% | 1.86 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.69 | value: +7% |
| Levante UD win | 21% | 18% | 4.71 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | ⚽ | Antonio Sanabria · Real Betis Balompié |
| 51' | 🟨 | Aïssa Mandi · Real Betis Balompié |
| 55' | ⚽ | Fabián Ruiz · Real Betis Balompié |
| 65' | ⚽ | Sergio León · Real Betis Balompié |
| 90' | ⚽ | Antonio Sanabria · Real Betis Balompié |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Betis Balompié | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Benito Villamarín |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 147.00 | 451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1484.18 | 1578.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.05 | 32.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.83 |
| league points | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |