← Primera Division 2016-17 · Sat, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Inaki Vicandi Garrido, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 60% | 60% | 1.63 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 22% | 4.37 | fair |
| Granada win | 17% | 18% | 5.70 | value: +5% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Jhon Steven · CA Osasuna |
| 41' | ⚽ | Adrian Ramos · Granada |
| 55' | 🟨 | Martin Hongla · Granada |
| 67' | 🟨 | Dimitri Foulquier · Granada |
| 75' | ⚽ | Kenan Kodro · CA Osasuna |
| 86' | 🟨 | Uche Agbo · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio León · CA Osasuna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio El Sadar |
| coach days |
| 132.00 |
| 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1358.97 | 1365.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.55 | -32.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 43.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.68 |
| league points | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| state index | -1.40 | -1.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |