← Primera Division 2016-17 · Thu, Sep 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alberto Undiano, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 43% | 45% | 2.26 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | 3.20 | fair |
| Leganes win | 26% | 25% | 3.77 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Luciano · Leganes |
| 31' | ⚽ | Celso Borges · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 55' | ⚽ | Luciano · Leganes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Rubén Pérez · Leganes |
| 61' | ⚽ | Gabriel Pires · Leganes |
| 85' | 🟨 | Víctor Díaz · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Deportivo La Coruña | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| coach days |
| venue | Estadio de Riazor |
| 113.00 |
| 1209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | — |
| elo | 1592.33 | 1572.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.97 | 17.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 51.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.58 |
| league points | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.75 | 68.67 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 36.33 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -2.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.75 | 4.33 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 25.41 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -1.95 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |