← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas win | 54% | 52% | 1.79 | fair |
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 23% | 26% | 4.20 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | 4.28 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 3.95 | 4.00 | +1.3% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.10 | +2.5% | |
| FC Dallas win | 1.75 | 1.77 | +1.1% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Toyota Stadium |