← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Oct 17, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC win | 55% | 61% | 1.85 | value: +12% |
| DC United win | 23% | 19% | 4.60 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 20% | 4.52 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United win | 4.10 | 4.40 | +7.3% | |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.40 | +7.3% | |
| Orlando City SC win | 1.71 | 1.67 | -2.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Exploria Stadium |