← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Oct 15, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake win | 51% | 49% | 2.05 | fair |
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 26% | 27% | 4.00 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 4.22 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 3.90 | 3.80 | -2.6% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.05 | +1.2% | |
| Real Salt Lake win | 1.75 | 1.83 | +4.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | America First Field |