← Major League Soccer 2026 · Fri, Jul 17, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps win | 41% | 44% | 2.35 | value: +4% |
| Chicago Fire win | 33% | 32% | 2.95 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | 3.90 | fair |
across 13 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 61% | 1.55 | fair |
| Under | 38% | 39% | 2.57 | fair |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64% | 63% | 1.50 | fair |
| No | 36% | 37% | 2.70 | fair |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under 9.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 6 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 4.5 | 48% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps win | 2.25 | 2.30 | +2.2% | |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.70 | 0.0% | |
| Chicago Fire win | 2.75 | 2.78 | +1.1% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Soldier Field |