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Chicago Fire 2–3 FC Cincinnati

← Major League Soccer 2026 Β· Sun, May 3, 12:30 AM UTC Β· ref: J. Dickerson

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open β€” Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

16'⚽Hugo Cuypers · Chicago Fire
24'⚽Evander · FC Cincinnati
28'⚽Hugo Cuypers · Chicago Fire
31'⚽Evander · FC Cincinnati
56'πŸŸ₯Kyle Smith Β· FC Cincinnati
68'🟨Kévin Denkey · FC Cincinnati
90'🟨Dje Tah D'Avilla · Chicago Fire
90'🟨Andrei Chirila · FC Cincinnati
90'🟨Ayoub Lajhar · FC Cincinnati
90'⚽ (pen)Evander · FC Cincinnati

from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat each side looked like walking in

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in β€” computed only from games before this one.

MetricChicago FireFC Cincinnati
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.340.40
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.280.41
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.300.43
box share (last 5)0.640.81
cards avg (last 5)0.000.00
coach days32.001552.00
congestion 21d3.003.00
corner diff avg (last 5)-3.601.60
corners against avg (last 5)6.203.80
corners for avg (last 5)
Everything else we hold on this match Β· 1 more recorded fact β€” tap to expand
venueSoldier Field
2.60
5.40
corners volatility (last 10)2.783.09
elo1540.221528.89
elo momentum (last 5)35.27-3.93
eye test v10.501.17
eye trend v10.250.11
first sub minute (last 10)58.9051.50
form points (last 5)13.006.00
goal diff avg (last 5)1.600.00
goals against avg (last 5)0.802.40
goals for avg (last 5)2.402.40
goals volatility (last 10)1.571.45
h2h win rate (last 5)0.300.70
keeper form v10.760.63
league points17.0012.00
league rank10.0016.00
matches since blank6.007.00
matches since clean sheet0.000.00
matches since win0.000.00
pass acc avg (last 5)80.6081.80
possession avg (last 5)50.6049.40
rest days7.007.04
scorer concentration0.430.33
season ppg1.891.20
skill v10.680.89
solidity v1-0.12-0.89
sot against avg (last 5)4.606.00
sot for avg (last 10)4.305.60
sot for avg (last 3)5.006.67
sot for avg (last 5)4.406.00
squad age27.6726.48
state index0.76-0.18
sterile dominance v1-0.25-0.25
threat rate (last 10)0.250.28
threat rate (last 3)0.350.33
threat rate (last 5)0.300.30
venue ppg (last 5)2.400.40
xg against avg (last 5)1.561.45
xg for avg (last 5)2.102.39