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New York City FC 3–1 Toronto FC

← Major League Soccer 2025 · Thu, Jul 3, 11:30 PM UTC · ref: Fotis Bazakos, USA

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

2'🟨Kevin Long · Toronto FC
19'🟨Matthew Longstaff · Toronto FC
20'⚽Hannes Wolf · New York City FC
25'🟨Alonso Martínez · New York City FC
49'⚽Mitja Ilenič · New York City FC
67'🟨Maxime Dominguez · Toronto FC
70'⚽ (og)Tomás Romero · Toronto FC
71'🟨Malik Henry · Toronto FC
74'⚽Kevin O'Toole · New York City FC

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat each side looked like walking in

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

MetricNew York City FCToronto FC
accuracy ratio (last 10)0.300.31
accuracy ratio (last 3)0.340.34
accuracy ratio (last 5)0.300.36
box share (last 5)0.670.71
cards avg (last 5)0.000.00
coach days183.00183.00
congestion 21d2.002.00
corner diff avg (last 5)2.40-1.40
corners against avg (last 5)4.206.00
corners for avg (last 5)
Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand
venueYankee Stadium
6.60
4.60
corners volatility (last 10)3.021.99
elo1506.961374.11
elo momentum (last 5)-6.921.06
eye test v10.16-0.40
eye trend v10.050.05
first sub minute (last 10)52.0051.60
form points (last 5)7.004.00
goal diff avg (last 5)0.40-0.20
goals against avg (last 5)1.401.40
goals for avg (last 5)1.801.20
goals volatility (last 10)1.421.90
h2h win rate (last 5)0.800.20
keeper form v10.700.79
league points28.0017.00
league rank14.0027.00
matches since blank0.002.00
matches since clean sheet1.000.00
matches since win1.000.00
pass acc avg (last 5)85.8078.40
possession avg (last 5)60.4047.20
rest days5.005.00
scorer concentration0.380.21
season ppg1.470.89
skill v11.13-0.36
solidity v10.12-0.42
sot against avg (last 5)4.405.00
sot for avg (last 10)4.004.00
sot for avg (last 3)4.004.00
sot for avg (last 5)4.203.80
squad age25.9627.83
state index0.04-0.41
sterile dominance v11.050.08
threat rate (last 10)0.250.26
threat rate (last 3)0.210.24
threat rate (last 5)0.230.22
venue ppg (last 5)1.801.40
xg against avg (last 5)1.211.56
xg for avg (last 5)1.580.93