system doctor

← lab · at 2026-10-30T07:15:35.519547+00:00 · failed 2 · ran 10/30/2026

What this is: A one-off study — its numbers below are exactly what the run reported.

checks

check	detail	status
feed:api-football	last fetch 2.6h ago (max 8h)	ok
feed:kalshi	last fetch 29.2h ago (max 13h)	FAIL
feed:the-odds-api	last fetch 2.5h ago (max 26h)	ok
feed:espn	last fetch 26.7h ago (max 30h)	ok
odds:upcoming-24h	0/0 priced contests fresh (<14h); stale: none	ok
derived:metrics	last metric computed 1.1h ago (max 30h)	ok
derived:sims	last sim finished 1.1h ago (max 30h)	ok
results:finished-unscored	0 finished contests missing scores: none	ok
odds:multi-book	thin books for upcoming games: MLB(0)	FAIL
quota:api-football	12 requests today (plan ~150k/day)	ok
bets:stale-pending	0 pending >24h after all legs finished: none	ok

AUC	predictability: 0.50 = coin flip, ~0.70 = ceiling for sports
Importance	how much the model leans on this factor (permutation importance)
Direction	sign of the raw correlation with the outcome
Survives all eras	effect points the same way in every historical era

Spec · the reproducible recipe

{
  "kind": "doctor"
}